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April 2009 - Nigel Mills responds to the Budget


6 months ago, after the Pre-Budget report, I wrote a piece for this website (read it here) looking at the country’s finances and the potential ways forward. At that point I raised concerns about the level of national debt.


We have since then delivered surveys across the constituency, and online, asking you what you thought the best way forward was – the overwhelming reply was that you wanted the government to reduce spending to reduce debt.


Even using the Government’s figures (now substantially discredited) the budget showed what an awful state this government has got our country’s finances in. If anything, sadly, awful is an understatement.


We now know that their forecasts for growth, for tax revenue and debt were appallingly bad. We know that the VAT reduction, at a cost of £12 billion, has proved an expensive flop.


The Government claimed to be taking action to protect businesses, to protect jobs, to keep people in their houses. But we know that the government’s attempts to get banks lending again failed. The last quarter showed the fastest rise in unemployment on record. Most banks have shunned the government’s repossession scheme as unworkable.


They were the self-styled government that was “doing things.” Sadly, as usual, they were doing the wrong things, at the wrong time. They were implementing them incompetently. And they were very expensive.


It can be hard to appreciate just how expensive. To illustrate, £12bn is 3 times the value of every house in this constituency. So that cut was the equivalent of burning all our houses down 3 times.


The chancellor’s estimate of the cost of bailing out the banks is around £60 billion. That is £1,000 for every person in the UK. Independent estimates put the cost at 2 or 3 times that amount. And they caused much of this loss by rushing in nationalising banks without doing proper reviews of their financing positions.


The Prime Minister thought he was saving the world. It reminds me of the classical saying that “those whom the gods wish to destroy, they first of all make mad”.


Last week in the budget the government had a choice to make:


They could start taking action to try and get the country out of the mess they’ve created – cutting spending and starting to tackle the debt black hole. They could apologise for their incompetence, and start taking the responsible actions needed. They could axe ID cards, abandon the NHS super-computer, slash their quangos. These alone would not sort the problems out – but they would help.


Or they could carry on regardless, raising spending and making the position even worse.


They chose to engage in political stunts designed to boost the Labour party, not help the country. They’re increasing spending by nearly £20 billion and pouring billion after billion into their black hole.


Who knows where we will be in 6 months time? Who knows what the debt level will be? The Chancellor doesn’t know – he thinks growth will be 3.5% in 2011 – nobody else thinks this is remotely possible. Will he have to repeat Denis Healey’s ignominy and go cap in hand to the IMF? I hope not.


People ask me why I want to be an MP – they say that the next government will have an impossible job. Many say that the country cannot recover from this mess.


I strongly believe that with the right actions, and the right policies, we can make our country a success again. It is not going to be easy. There will need to be difficult decisions, there will be tough choices to make. Some necessary actions will not be popular.


But restoring our country’s finances can be done. But we need to make a start now. We need a government with the courage to take the difficult decisions, to make the tough choices, and have the determination to see them through.


We need a Conservative government. And we need it now.

 

 




Nigel Mills is the Prospective Parliamentary Candidate for Amber Valley, and a practising accountant specialising in tax
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
       

Promoted by Matthew Joyes on behalf of Nigel Mills and Amber Valley Conservative Association,
all of Derbyshire Campaign Centre, 3 Rutland Street, Matlock, Derbyshire DE4 3AG